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Medicine Medium #r0#rt#reproduction-number

R0 vs Rt

R0 is intrinsic transmissibility in fully susceptible population; Rt is real-time effective reproduction.

A free, animated r0 vs rt you can read here or embed on any website, from Scrollchart.

R0 vs Rt

R0 vs Rt: Intrinsic vs Effective Reproduction NumberRt < 1 = epidemic shrinks; Rt > 1 = epidemic grows; R0 is fixed, Rt responds to immunity and interventionDay 0D30D60D90D120D150D180Days since outbreak start0.51.01.52.02.53.0Reproduction numberR0 = 2.5 (reference)Rt = 1 thresholdLockdownMasksVaccinationVariant

A pandemic timeline with Rt fluctuating above and below 1. R0 plotted as static reference. Interventions (mask, vax, lockdown) shift Rt; herd-immunity threshold = 1 - 1/R0 marked.

Good for

  • Pandemic explainers clarifying why Rt not R0 determines whether a current outbreak is growing or shrinking
  • Public health journalism on how mask mandates and vaccination reduce Rt below the critical threshold of 1
  • Epidemiology teaching on the mathematical relationship between R0, susceptible fraction, and effective Rt

Source & accuracy

This r0 vs rt is an editorial illustration built to represent the concept accurately. Where it shows figures, they are typical or representative values chosen to make the relationship clear, not a single underlying dataset. The diagram and its explainer are reviewed and maintained centrally, and updated over time as understanding improves.

What R0 and Rt actually measure

R0, the basic reproduction number, is the average number of secondary infections one case produces in a population that is fully susceptible and where no control measures are in place. It is a property of a pathogen in a particular setting, not a fixed universal constant, because it depends on contact patterns and biology together. Rt, the effective or time-varying reproduction number, measures the same average at a specific moment, after immunity, behaviour change, and interventions have reduced the pool of susceptible contacts.

The practical dividing line is one. When Rt is above one each case more than replaces itself and an epidemic grows; when Rt falls below one transmission shrinks. R0 alone cannot tell you whether spread is currently rising, which is why surveillance tracks Rt over time.

Common misreadings to avoid

A high R0 does not by itself imply a high death toll, since severity is separate from transmissibility. Reported R0 ranges also vary widely between studies because they depend on local contact structure and the methods used to estimate them, so a single quoted figure should be treated as an estimate within a range.

This is general educational information about epidemiological modelling, not medical or policy advice.

Embed this diagram

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Reference

What this is
A free, embeddable, animated r0 vs rt for any website.
Who uses it
Medical educators, Health journalists, Data journalists, Science popularizers.
How to embed
Copy one line of HTML. No signup. No watermark. Works in WordPress, Webflow, Ghost, Substack, plain HTML.
File size
iframe embed, ~80 KB gzipped (loads on demand, does not block your page paint).
License
Free forever. Editorial explainer text included; updated centrally over time.

Embed format options

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Embed snippet
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Frequently asked questions

Where can I get a free animated "R0 vs Rt" for my website?
Scrollchart provides "R0 vs Rt" as a free, embeddable animated diagram you can add to any website with one line of HTML. No signup is required and there is no watermark. The diagram and its explainer text are served from scrollchart.com, so the embed stays current without any maintenance on your end.
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Copy the HTML snippet from the Scrollchart diagram page and paste it into any post or page in your CMS. It works in WordPress, Webflow, Ghost, Substack, and plain HTML without any plugin or account. The diagram renders as animated SVG directly in your page, so search engines can index the accompanying explainer text.